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NFL Power Rankings - Week 17

After demolishing the New York Jets 41 - 3, the New England Patriots continue to hold onto the top spot in the NFL Power Rankings based on the GE model. The teams that follow are in position to earn first round byes so the GE model is correlating very nicely with the actual records. In fact, the correlation coefficient between the total GE number and actual win-loss record for each team is 0.847 which is very strong. This means that the GE model can explain 71.7% of the variation in each team's win-loss record.

Of course the bottom feeders like the Jaguars, Bears, Rams, 49ers, Jets, and Browns all rank in the bottom of the NFL Power Rankings so again the GE model is working out nicely. For comparison purposes, DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) which is the vaunted metric Football Outsiders uses to measure a football team's performance, has a correlation coefficient of 0.744 with win-loss records or explains just 55.4% of the variance in each team's win-loss record.

Here are the Week 17 rankings and we will then gear up for the postseason within a couple of days!

  1. New England (13-2)
    GE-Total: #1 at 2.25
    GE-Offense: #2 at 1.21
    GE-Defense: #2 at 1.05

  2. Atlanta (10-5)
    GE-Total: #2 at 1.65
    GE-Offense: #1 at 2.00
    GE-Defense: #23 at -0.35

  3. Dallas (13-2)
    GE-Total: #3 at 1.64
    GE-Offense: #4 at 1.14
    GE-Defense: #10 at 0.50

  4. Oakland (12-3)
    GE-Total: #4 at 1.27
    GE-Offense: #3 at 1.20
    GE-Defense: #15 at 0.06

  5. Baltimore (8-7)
    GE-Total: #5 at 1.12
    GE-Offense: #17 at -0.11
    GE-Defense: #1 at 1.24

  6. Kansas City (11-4)
    GE-Total: #6 at 1.07
    GE-Offense: #12 at 0.19
    GE-Defense: #5 at 0.85

  7. Pittsburgh (10-5)
    GE-Total: #7 at 0.98
    GE-Offense: #9 at 0.60
    GE-Defense: #11 at 0.38

  8. Seattle (9-5-1)
    GE-Total: #8 at 0.71
    GE-Offense: #14 at 0.05
    GE-Defense: #7 at 0.66

  9. Buffalo (7-8)
    GE-Total: #9 at 0.694
    GE-Offense: #7 at 0.98
    GE-Defense: #22 at -0.29

  10. Arizona (6-8-1)
    GE-Total: #10 at 0.693
    GE-Offense: #15 at -0.04
    GE-Defense: #8 at 0.65

  11. Green Bay (9-6)
    GE-Total: #11 at 0.57
    GE-Offense: #8 at 0.63
    GE-Defense: #17 at -0.05

  12. Minnesota (7-8)
    GE-Total: #12 at 0.50
    GE-Offense: #22 at -0.41
    GE-Defense: #4 at 0.90

  13. Washington (8-6-1)
    GE-Total: #13 at 0.48
    GE-Offense: #6 at 0.98
    GE-Defense: #26 at -0.51

  14. New Orleans (7-8)
    GE-Total: #14 at 0.40
    GE-Offense: #5 at 1.10
    GE-Defense: #28 at -0.70

  15. Denver (8-7)
    GE-Total: #15 at 0.28
    GE-Offense: #25 at -0.68
    GE-Defense: #3 at 0.96

  16. Philadelphia (6-9)
    GE-Total: #16 at 0.23
    GE-Offense: #18 at -0.14
    GE-Defense: #12 at 0.37

  17. Cincinnati (5-9-1)
    GE-Total: #17 at 0.09
    GE-Offense: #16 at -0.01
    GE-Defense: #14 at 0.10

  18. Tennessee (8-7)
    GE-Total: #18 at -0.07
    GE-Offense: #10 at 0.42
    GE-Defense: #25 at -0.48

  19. New York Giants (10-5)
    GE-Total: #19 at -0.18
    GE-Offense: #26 at -0.85
    GE-Defense: #6 at 0.67

  20. Detroit (9-6)
    GE-Total: #20 at -0.20
    GE-Offense: #13 at 0.06
    GE-Defense: #21 at -0.26

  21. San Diego (5-10)
    GE-Total: #21 at -0.25
    GE-Offense: #23 at -0.44
    GE-Defense: #13 at 0.19

  22. Tampa Bay (8-7)
    GE-Total: #22 at -0.28
    GE-Offense: #20 at -0.30
    GE-Defense: #16 at 0.02

  23. Miami (10-5)
    GE-Total: #23 at -0.29
    GE-Offense: #19 at -0.14
    GE-Defense: #19 at -0.15

  24. Houston (9-6)
    GE-Total: #24 at -0.33
    GE-Offense: #29 at -0.93
    GE-Defense: #9 at 0.60

  25. Carolina (6-9)
    GE-Total: #25 at -0.49
    GE-Offense: #21 at -0.32
    GE-Defense: #20 at -0.17

  26. Indianapolis (7-8)
    GE-Total: #26 at -0.50
    GE-Offense: #11 at 0.38
    GE-Defense: #29 at -0.88

  27. Jacksonville (3-12)
    GE-Total: #27 at -1.22
    GE-Offense: #28 at -0.86
    GE-Defense: #24 at -0.36

  28. Chicago (3-12)
    GE-Total: #28 at -1.31
    GE-Offense: #24 at -0.62
    GE-Defense: #27 at -0.69

  29. Los Angeles (4-11)
    GE-Total: #29 at -1.82
    GE-Offense: #32 at -1.76
    GE-Defense: #18 at -0.06

  30. San Francisco (2-13)
    GE-Total: #30 at -2.40
    GE-Offense: #27 at -0.85
    GE-Defense: #31 at -1.55

  31. New York Jets (4-11)
    GE-Total: #31 at -2.47
    GE-Offense: #31 at -1.49
    GE-Defense: #30 at -0.98

  32. Cleveland (1-14)
    GE-Total: #32 at -2.79
    GE-Offense: #30 at -1.08
    GE-Defense: #32 at -1.71