NFL DFS Week 17 (2021)

Keeping it simple again with about 30 minutes before kickoff.

I will be going against the grain for QB. Let's roll the dice with Davis Mills of Houston. Why? Because the 49ers pass defense is awful. They struggle in man coverage and this game will be a homecoming for Mills who played college football at Stanford (just up the freeway from Levi's Stadium). He correlates very well with Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins. Not big names but great blend of speed and size. See the images below for all the evidence you need to go with a Houston stack.

As for RB, let's play the matchups. Detroit, Houston, and NY Jets all struggle to defend the run. Fire up Rashaad Penny, Elijah Mitchell, and Ronald Jones II.

The anchor for our lineup is Cooper Kupp. He should break the records for both receptions and receiving yards in a season with 2 games left and needing 18 receptions and 231 yards for those records. Why not get both of those records today! The Ravens pass defense was shredded last week by Cincinnati. Kupp can do the same.

Zach Ertz represents good value for tight end. His target share is in the double digits and he is cheaper than the other elite options.

I am loving Buffalo Bills defense. The Falcons offense is shit and the Bills are finally clicking. Not often do you get the top defense based on DVOA play the worst offense using the same metric. Let the others flock to New England today. Pay down for Buffalo and enjoy watching your lineup hit the cash line.

We finish things off with some cheap WRs. On DraftKings, I like Breshad Perriman and Braxton Berrios. Combined salary is $8,000 and you could get a total of 40 points from both of them. On FanDuel, I prefer Perriman given his penchant for big plays. He is an air yards monster.

Some sample lineups are below. Good luck!